Population Trend

An analysis into estimated population growth trends in the major religions over the next 100 years.

How will the world look different in 100-years

Prophet / Scripture / Religion ₁	Avg. Growth ₂	2010 Act. ₃	2020 Est. ₄	2030 Est. ₄	2040 Est. ₄	2050 Est. ₄	2060 Est. ₄
Jesus Bible Christianity 30 CE Roman Catholic 16.85% Protestant 6.15% Orthodox 3.96% Anglican 1.26%	+1.47 % (per year)	2262.59 M 32.71 % of world population	2618.08 M 33.93 % of world population	3029.42 M 35.96 % of world population	3505.38 M 38.78 % of world population	4056.13 M 42.47 % of world population	4693.41 M 47.13 % of world population
Muhammad Quran & Hadith Islam 622 CE Sunni 75-90% Shia 10-20%	+2.33 % (per year)	1552.33 M 22.44 % of world population	1954.4 M 25.33 % of world population	2460.61 M 29.21 % of world population	3097.94 M 34.27 % of world population	3900.34 M 40.84 % of world population	4910.58 M 49.32 % of world population
Brahminism Vedas, Upanishads Hinduism 1500 BCE	+1.69 % (per year)	948.95 M 13.72 % of world population	1122.09 M 14.54 % of world population	1326.81 M 15.75 % of world population	1568.88 M 17.36 % of world population	1855.13 M 19.42 % of world population	2193.59 M 22.03 % of world population
None None No Religion Secular Non-religious Agnostic Atheist	+0.45 % (per year)	813.12 M 11.76 % of world population	850.46 M 11.02 % of world population	889.52 M 10.56 % of world population	930.36 M 10.29 % of world population	973.09 M 10.19 % of world population	1017.77 M 10.22 % of world population
Siddhartha Gautama (Buddha) Tripitaka Buddhism 523 BCE	+1.68 % (per year)	494.89 M 7.16 % of world population	584.61 M 7.58 % of world population	690.59 M 8.2 % of world population	815.78 M 9.03 % of world population	963.67 M 10.09 % of world population	1138.38 M 11.43 % of world population
Chinese Traditional Religion 270 BCE Taoism Daoism Confucianists	+1.30 % (per year)	451.14 M 6.52 % of world population	513.34 M 6.65 % of world population	584.12 M 6.93 % of world population	664.65 M 7.35 % of world population	756.29 M 7.92 % of world population	860.56 M 8.64 % of world population
Ethnic Religions Ethnoreligionists	+0.88 % (per year)	242.52 M 3.51 % of world population	264.73 M 3.43 % of world population	288.97 M 3.43 % of world population	315.43 M 3.49 % of world population	344.31 M 3.6 % of world population	375.84 M 3.77 % of world population
African Traditional Religions	+0.88 % (per year)	100 M 1.45 % of world population	109.16 M 1.41 % of world population	119.15 M 1.41 % of world population	130.06 M 1.44 % of world population	141.97 M 1.49 % of world population	154.97 M 1.56 % of world population
Guru Nanak Guru Granth Sahib Sikhism 1500 CE	+1.91 % (per year)	24.06 M 0.35 % of world population	29.07 M 0.38 % of world population	35.13 M 0.42 % of world population	42.44 M 0.47 % of world population	51.28 M 0.54 % of world population	61.96 M 0.62 % of world population
Juche North Korean ideology	+0.84 % (per year)	19 M 0.27 % of world population	20.66 M 0.27 % of world population	22.46 M 0.27 % of world population	24.42 M 0.27 % of world population	26.55 M 0.28 % of world population	28.87 M 0.29 % of world population
Moses Torah Judaism	-0.03 % (per year)	13.95 M 0.2 % of world population	13.91 M 0.18 % of world population	13.87 M 0.16 % of world population	13.82 M 0.15 % of world population	13.78 M 0.14 % of world population	13.74 M 0.14 % of world population
Spiritism	+2.35 % (per year)	13.7 M 0.2 % of world population	17.28 M 0.22 % of world population	21.8 M 0.26 % of world population	27.5 M 0.3 % of world population	34.69 M 0.36 % of world population	43.76 M 0.44 % of world population
Most Holy Book Bahai 1863 CE	+2.38 % (per year)	7.31 M 0.11 % of world population	9.25 M 0.12 % of world population	11.7 M 0.14 % of world population	14.8 M 0.16 % of world population	18.73 M 0.2 % of world population	23.7 M 0.24 % of world population
Siddhanta, Pakrit Jainism 570 BCE	+1.71 % (per year)	5.38 M 0.08 % of world population	6.37 M 0.08 % of world population	7.55 M 0.09 % of world population	8.95 M 0.1 % of world population	10.6 M 0.11 % of world population	12.56 M 0.13 % of world population
Cao Dai	+0.75 % (per year)	4 M 0.06 % of world population	4.31 M 0.06 % of world population	4.64 M 0.06 % of world population	5.01 M 0.06 % of world population	5.39 M 0.06 % of world population	5.81 M 0.06 % of world population
Kojiki, Nohon Shoki Shinto 500 CE	-0.81 % (per year)	2.76 M 0.04 % of world population	2.54 M 0.03 % of world population	2.35 M 0.03 % of world population	2.16 M 0.02 % of world population	1.99 M 0.02 % of world population	1.84 M 0.02 % of world population
Tenrikyo	-0.81 % (per year)	2 M 0.03 % of world population	1.84 M 0.02 % of world population	1.7 M 0.02 % of world population	1.57 M 0.02 % of world population	1.44 M 0.02 % of world population	1.33 M 0.01 % of world population
Neo-Paganism	-0.38 % (per year)	1 M 0.01 % of world population	0.96 M 0.01 % of world population	0.93 M 0.01 % of world population	0.89 M 0.01 % of world population	0.86 M 0.01 % of world population	0.83 M 0.01 % of world population
Unitarian Universalism	+1.47 % (per year)	0.8 M 0.01 % of world population	0.93 M 0.01 % of world population	1.07 M 0.01 % of world population	1.24 M 0.01 % of world population	1.43 M 0.01 % of world population	1.66 M 0.02 % of world population
Haile Selassie, Marcus Mosia Garvey Piby, Bible Rastafarianism	+0.88 % (per year)	0.6 M 0.01 % of world population	0.65 M 0.01 % of world population	0.71 M 0.01 % of world population	0.78 M 0.01 % of world population	0.85 M 0.01 % of world population	0.93 M 0.01 % of world population
Avesta Zoroastrianism	+0.87 % (per year)	0.2 M 0 % of world population	0.22 M 0 % of world population	0.24 M 0 % of world population	0.26 M 0 % of world population	0.28 M 0 % of world population	0.31 M 0 % of world population
Total World Population (in millions) ₅		6916 M	7717 M	8425 M	9039 M	9551 M	9957 M

Source:

₁

List of religious populations

₂

(PDF pg.13, Rate 1970-2020)

₃

(PDF pg.13, 2010 Adherents)

₄

₅

UN World population estimates

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Population Trend

An analysis into estimated population growth trends in the major religions over the next 100 years.

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