Population Trend

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An analysis into estimated population growth trends in the major religions over the next 100 years.

2010 Actual ₃	2020 Est. ₄	2030 Est. ₄	2040 Est. ₄	2050 Est. ₄	2060 Est. ₄
Christianity Average Growth Rate: +1.47 % per year
2262.59 M 32.71 % world pop.	2618.08 M 33.93 % world pop.	3029.42 M 35.96 % world pop.	3505.38 M 38.78 % world pop.	4056.13 M 42.47 % world pop.	4693.41 M 47.13 % world pop.
Islam Average Growth Rate: +2.33 % per year
1552.33 M 22.44 % world pop.	1954.4 M 25.33 % world pop.	2460.61 M 29.21 % world pop.	3097.94 M 34.27 % world pop.	3900.34 M 40.84 % world pop.	4910.58 M 49.32 % world pop.
Hinduism Average Growth Rate: +1.69 % per year
948.95 M 13.72 % world pop.	1122.09 M 14.54 % world pop.	1326.81 M 15.75 % world pop.	1568.88 M 17.36 % world pop.	1855.13 M 19.42 % world pop.	2193.59 M 22.03 % world pop.
No Religion Average Growth Rate: +0.45 % per year
813.12 M 11.76 % world pop.	850.46 M 11.02 % world pop.	889.52 M 10.56 % world pop.	930.36 M 10.29 % world pop.	973.09 M 10.19 % world pop.	1017.77 M 10.22 % world pop.
Buddhism Average Growth Rate: +1.68 % per year
494.89 M 7.16 % world pop.	584.61 M 7.58 % world pop.	690.59 M 8.2 % world pop.	815.78 M 9.03 % world pop.	963.67 M 10.09 % world pop.	1138.38 M 11.43 % world pop.
Chinese Traditional Religion Average Growth Rate: +1.30 % per year
451.14 M 6.52 % world pop.	513.34 M 6.65 % world pop.	584.12 M 6.93 % world pop.	664.65 M 7.35 % world pop.	756.29 M 7.92 % world pop.	860.56 M 8.64 % world pop.
Ethnic Religions Average Growth Rate: +0.88 % per year
242.52 M 3.51 % world pop.	264.73 M 3.43 % world pop.	288.97 M 3.43 % world pop.	315.43 M 3.49 % world pop.	344.31 M 3.6 % world pop.	375.84 M 3.77 % world pop.
African Traditional Religions Average Growth Rate: +0.88 % per year
100 M 1.45 % world pop.	109.16 M 1.41 % world pop.	119.15 M 1.41 % world pop.	130.06 M 1.44 % world pop.	141.97 M 1.49 % world pop.	154.97 M 1.56 % world pop.
Sikhism Average Growth Rate: +1.91 % per year
24.06 M 0.35 % world pop.	29.07 M 0.38 % world pop.	35.13 M 0.42 % world pop.	42.44 M 0.47 % world pop.	51.28 M 0.54 % world pop.	61.96 M 0.62 % world pop.
Juche Average Growth Rate: +0.84 % per year
19 M 0.27 % world pop.	20.66 M 0.27 % world pop.	22.46 M 0.27 % world pop.	24.42 M 0.27 % world pop.	26.55 M 0.28 % world pop.	28.87 M 0.29 % world pop.
Judaism Average Growth Rate: -0.03 % per year
13.95 M 0.2 % world pop.	13.91 M 0.18 % world pop.	13.87 M 0.16 % world pop.	13.82 M 0.15 % world pop.	13.78 M 0.14 % world pop.	13.74 M 0.14 % world pop.
Spiritism Average Growth Rate: +2.35 % per year
13.7 M 0.2 % world pop.	17.28 M 0.22 % world pop.	21.8 M 0.26 % world pop.	27.5 M 0.3 % world pop.	34.69 M 0.36 % world pop.	43.76 M 0.44 % world pop.
Bahai Average Growth Rate: +2.38 % per year
7.31 M 0.11 % world pop.	9.25 M 0.12 % world pop.	11.7 M 0.14 % world pop.	14.8 M 0.16 % world pop.	18.73 M 0.2 % world pop.	23.7 M 0.24 % world pop.
Jainism Average Growth Rate: +1.71 % per year
5.38 M 0.08 % world pop.	6.37 M 0.08 % world pop.	7.55 M 0.09 % world pop.	8.95 M 0.1 % world pop.	10.6 M 0.11 % world pop.	12.56 M 0.13 % world pop.
Cao Dai Average Growth Rate: +0.75 % per year
4 M 0.06 % world pop.	4.31 M 0.06 % world pop.	4.64 M 0.06 % world pop.	5.01 M 0.06 % world pop.	5.39 M 0.06 % world pop.	5.81 M 0.06 % world pop.
Shinto Average Growth Rate: -0.81 % per year
2.76 M 0.04 % world pop.	2.54 M 0.03 % world pop.	2.35 M 0.03 % world pop.	2.16 M 0.02 % world pop.	1.99 M 0.02 % world pop.	1.84 M 0.02 % world pop.
Tenrikyo Average Growth Rate: -0.81 % per year
2 M 0.03 % world pop.	1.84 M 0.02 % world pop.	1.7 M 0.02 % world pop.	1.57 M 0.02 % world pop.	1.44 M 0.02 % world pop.	1.33 M 0.01 % world pop.
Neo-Paganism Average Growth Rate: -0.38 % per year
1 M 0.01 % world pop.	0.96 M 0.01 % world pop.	0.93 M 0.01 % world pop.	0.89 M 0.01 % world pop.	0.86 M 0.01 % world pop.	0.83 M 0.01 % world pop.
Unitarian Universalism Average Growth Rate: +1.47 % per year
0.8 M 0.01 % world pop.	0.93 M 0.01 % world pop.	1.07 M 0.01 % world pop.	1.24 M 0.01 % world pop.	1.43 M 0.01 % world pop.	1.66 M 0.02 % world pop.
Rastafarianism Average Growth Rate: +0.88 % per year
0.6 M 0.01 % world pop.	0.65 M 0.01 % world pop.	0.71 M 0.01 % world pop.	0.78 M 0.01 % world pop.	0.85 M 0.01 % world pop.	0.93 M 0.01 % world pop.
Zoroastrianism Average Growth Rate: +0.87 % per year
0.2 M 0 % world pop.	0.22 M 0 % world pop.	0.24 M 0 % world pop.	0.26 M 0 % world pop.	0.28 M 0 % world pop.	0.31 M 0 % world pop.
Total World Population (in millions) ₅
6916 M	7717 M	8425 M	9039 M	9551 M	9957 M

SOURCE:
The above figures are rough estimates based on various assumptions. Where appropriate, the data sources are referenced below.
₁ Wikipedia: List of religious populations
₂ Christianity Global Context: (PDF pg.13, Rate 1970-2020)
₃ Christianity Global Context: (PDF pg.13, 2010 Adherents)
₄ Estimates for 2020-2060 extrapolated using 2010 Actual figure multiplied by compound Avg. Growth rate
₅ Wikipedia: UN World population estimates

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41-population-trend

Author: Guest • Updated: 27 Aug 2026 • 2635 views | 1 day ago

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Population Trend

An analysis into estimated population growth trends in the major religions over the next 100 years.

Christianity Average Growth Rate: +1.47 % per year

2262.59 M

2618.08 M

3029.42 M

3505.38 M

4056.13 M

4693.41 M

Islam Average Growth Rate: +2.33 % per year

1552.33 M

1954.4 M

2460.61 M

3097.94 M

3900.34 M

4910.58 M

Hinduism Average Growth Rate: +1.69 % per year

948.95 M

1122.09 M

1326.81 M

1568.88 M

1855.13 M

2193.59 M

No Religion Average Growth Rate: +0.45 % per year

813.12 M

850.46 M

889.52 M

930.36 M

973.09 M

1017.77 M

Buddhism Average Growth Rate: +1.68 % per year

494.89 M

584.61 M

690.59 M

815.78 M

963.67 M

1138.38 M

Chinese Traditional Religion Average Growth Rate: +1.30 % per year

451.14 M

513.34 M

584.12 M

664.65 M

756.29 M

860.56 M

Ethnic Religions Average Growth Rate: +0.88 % per year

242.52 M

264.73 M

288.97 M

315.43 M

344.31 M

375.84 M

African Traditional Religions Average Growth Rate: +0.88 % per year

100 M

109.16 M

119.15 M

130.06 M

141.97 M

154.97 M

Sikhism Average Growth Rate: +1.91 % per year

24.06 M

29.07 M

35.13 M

42.44 M

51.28 M

61.96 M

Juche Average Growth Rate: +0.84 % per year

19 M

20.66 M

22.46 M

24.42 M

26.55 M

28.87 M

Judaism Average Growth Rate: -0.03 % per year

13.95 M

13.91 M

13.87 M

13.82 M

13.78 M

13.74 M

Spiritism Average Growth Rate: +2.35 % per year